{"id":1057,"date":"2026-09-07T21:27:05","date_gmt":"2026-09-07T21:27:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/?page_id=1057"},"modified":"2026-09-07T21:30:47","modified_gmt":"2026-09-07T21:30:47","slug":"september-03-2026","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/september-03-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"September 03, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-style-rounded\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/files\/2026\/09\/APSA_photo_2026-09-07_17-08-41-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1059\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/files\/2026\/09\/APSA_photo_2026-09-07_17-08-41-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/files\/2026\/09\/APSA_photo_2026-09-07_17-08-41-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/files\/2026\/09\/APSA_photo_2026-09-07_17-08-41-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/files\/2026\/09\/APSA_photo_2026-09-07_17-08-41.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">AIM-3D Team Presents Research at APSA 2026<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The AIM-3D team participated in the 2026 American Political Science Association (APSA) Annual Meeting, held September 3\u20136, 2026, in Boston, Massachusetts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dmitry Zaytsev presented the paper <strong>\u201cAIM-3D: A Prototype Neural Network for Modeling Democratization,\u201d<\/strong> co-authored with Michael Coppedge and Valentina Kuskova, as part of the panel \u201cDemocracy and Democratic Erosion in the Age of Artificial Intelligence.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The paper introduces a <strong>new methodological pipeline for AI-based modeling of complex social processes<\/strong>, designed to move beyond key limitations of conventional linear path models. The multi-stage workflow combines neural-network-based causal scoring, forecast-necessity testing, estimation of signed net causal effects, and characterization of nonlinear functional forms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Applied to long-term democratic development, the pipeline makes it possible to distinguish high-scoring relationships from those that are actually necessary for forecasting, identify feedback loops, and uncover nonlinear dynamics that conventional linear models may not capture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This research contributes to AIM-3D\u2019s broader effort to develop AI-driven methodological tools for modeling, forecasting, and understanding complex social and political processes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Authors:<\/strong> Michael Coppedge, Dmitry Zaytsev, and Valentina Kuskova<br><strong>Presented by:<\/strong> Dmitry Zaytsev<br><strong>Conference:<\/strong> APSA 2026, September 3\u20136, 2026, Boston, Massachusetts<br><strong>Paper:<\/strong> AIM-3D: A Prototype Neural Network for Modeling Democratization<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Read more in <a href=\"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/publications\/\">our Publications<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AIM-3D Team Presents Research at APSA 2026 The AIM-3D team participated in the 2026 American Political Science Association (APSA) Annual Meeting, held September 3\u20136, 2026, in Boston, Massachusetts. Dmitry Zaytsev presented the paper \u201cAIM-3D: A Prototype Neural Network for Modeling Democratization,\u201d co-authored with Michael Coppedge and Valentina Kuskova, as part of the panel \u201cDemocracy and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5174,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1057","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1057","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5174"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1057"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1057\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1064,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1057\/revisions\/1064"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1057"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}