{"id":117,"date":"2025-10-29T17:45:43","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T17:45:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/?page_id=117"},"modified":"2026-06-03T20:02:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T20:02:18","slug":"about","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/","title":{"rendered":"About"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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The AI-based Modeling of Democratic Development and Decline (AIM-3D) project is an initiative of professors and students from the Lucy Family Institute for Data & Society<\/a> and the Kellogg Institute for International Studies<\/a> at the University of Notre Dame. It brings together political, data, and computer scientists to develop an AI-powered system for modeling and forecasting democratic and autocratic change across nations – AIM-3D Hub.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AIM-3D is an empirically grounded and theoretically informed effort to build an AI-based data, modeling, and knowledge hub that systematically analyzes the trajectories of democratization and autocratization across nations. Leveraging recent advances in artificial intelligence, AIM-3D seeks not merely to automate analysis, but to integrate computational modeling with established theories of democratic change, enabling new forms of predictive and explanatory insight into political development and decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The AIM-3D Hub integrates diverse datasets, advanced causal and machine-learning models, and theory-driven analyses to better understand the dynamics that strengthen or weaken democratic systems.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By combining transparency, analytical rigor, and accessibility, AIM-3D aims to transform how scholars, policymakers, and the public analyze and engage with global patterns of democratic resilience and decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Explore AIM-3D<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
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Modeling Tools<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Public Portal<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Knowledge Network<\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

News & Events<\/h1>\n\n\n\n
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AIM-3D Research Presented at Keeping the Republic Conference 2026<\/a><\/strong><\/strong>: AI-based Modeling of Democratic Development and Decline (AIM-3D)<\/em> – Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>, Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a> and Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>
May 21, 2026
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AIM-3D team presentation at the FLAIRS<\/a> Conference<\/strong>: Beyond Coefficients: Forecast-Necessity Testing for Interpretable Causal Discovery in Nonlinear Time-Series Models<\/em> – Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a>, Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>, and Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>
May 20, 2026
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9th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: AIM-3D: A Prototype Neural Network for Modeling Democratization: Causal Sequences in Long-Term Democratic Development<\/em> – Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>, Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a> and Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>
May 07, 2026
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8th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: Forecasting Shifts in Democratic Governance: A Review of the Democratic Space Barometer Project<\/em> – Andreas Beger<\/strong><\/a>
April 27, 2026
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The AIM3D Panel Session at the MPSA<\/a> Conference<\/strong>: Modeling Democracy with AI: Computational Approaches to Democratic Development and Decline<\/em> – Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>, Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a> and Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>
April 24, 2026
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7th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: Adaptive Transmission: How Dialogues Developed After the U.S.\u2019s Proposal to Ban TikTok<\/em> – Ziyi Wu<\/a><\/strong>
April 09, 2026
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6th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: Computational Democracy: How Deliberative Technologies Work<\/em> – Lisa Schirch<\/a><\/strong>
March 26, 2026
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AIM4D Conference<\/strong>: International Conference on AI-driven Modeling & Forecasting for Democratic Development and Decline<\/em>, University of Notre Dame, October 15-17, 2026
Conveners: Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a> and Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>
Extended Submission Deadline: March 16, 2026<\/strong>
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5th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: CPS4D Launches Spring Semester with Talk on Spatial Technologies and Human Rights in Mexico<\/em> – Jorge Ruiz Reyes<\/strong><\/a>
February 05, 2026
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Notre Dame Democracy Initiative Awards Democracy Catalyst Grants to AIM-3D and 23 Other Projects<\/strong>
Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a> will lead the creation of the Public Portal Prototype for AI-based Modeling of Democratic Development and Decline (AIM-3D Portal), together with Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong>,<\/a> Valya Kuskova<\/strong>,<\/a> John Behrens<\/strong><\/a>, and Rick Johnson<\/strong><\/a>
December 15, 2025
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4th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: Patronage Power-Sharing and Rebel Group Splintering<\/em> – Matthew Hauenstein<\/strong><\/a>
November 20, 2025
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3th Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: AI-based Modeling of Democratic Development and Decline (AIM-3D) Project Presentation<\/em> – Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>, Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>, Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a>, and Rick Johnson<\/strong><\/a>
October 30, 2025
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2nd Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: Research Project Lightning Round<\/em> – Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>, Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>, Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a>, Matthew Hauenstein<\/strong><\/a>, Tom Mustillo<\/strong><\/a>, and Gessica de Freitas<\/strong><\/a>
September 25, 2025
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1st Computational Political Science for Democracy Working Group seminar<\/strong>: Roadmap to the main techniques that fall under the heading of “computational methods”<\/em> – Valya Kuskova<\/strong><\/a>, and Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a>
September 4, 2025
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Kellogg Launches Four New Working Groups this Fall<\/strong>
The Working Group on Computational Political Science for Democracy<\/a><\/strong> is led by professor of political science and Kellogg faculty fellow Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a> with Lucy Family Institute for Data & Society<\/a> colleagues Dmitry Zaytsev<\/a><\/strong> and Valya Kuskova<\/a><\/strong>
August 19, 2025
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<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The AI-based Modeling of Democratic Development and Decline (AIM-3D) project is an initiative of professors and students from the Lucy Family Institute for Data & Society and the Kellogg Institute for International Studies at the University of Notre Dame. It brings together political, data, and computer scientists to develop an AI-powered system for modeling and […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5154,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":1,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-117","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5154"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=117"}],"version-history":[{"count":113,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/117\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":913,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/117\/revisions\/913"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}