{"id":759,"date":"2026-04-28T19:51:21","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T19:51:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/?page_id=759"},"modified":"2026-04-28T20:06:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-28T20:06:30","slug":"april-24","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/news-events\/april-24\/","title":{"rendered":"April 24, 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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The AIM-3D Project at Notre Dame<\/strong><\/a> team organized and hosted a panel session at the MPSA conference titled \u201cModeling Democracy with AI: Computational Approaches to Democratic Development and Decline.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Michael Coppedge<\/strong><\/a>, Valentina (Valya) Kuskova<\/strong><\/a>, and Dmitry Zaytsev<\/strong><\/a> presented \u201cAIM-3D: A Prototype Neural Network for Modeling Democratization,\u201d showcasing early work on modeling and forecasting long-term democratic trajectories using AI.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We were also joined by an excellent lineup of presentations:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andreas Beger<\/strong><\/a> and Rick Morgan<\/strong><\/a> – Forecasting Shifts in Democratic Governance: A Review of the Democratic Space Barometer Project – including reflections on earlier efforts to forecast democratization using machine learning in the V-Dem Forecast project.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matthew Hauenstein<\/strong><\/a> – Patronage Power-Sharing and Rebel Group Splintering – highlighting how temporary power-sharing arrangements after civil wars can stabilize political coalitions, offering important insights for modeling how democratic institutions may emerge or endure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Giovanni Pagano<\/strong><\/a> – Bending Bureaucracy: Detecting Political Capture of Administration with Computational Legislative Analysis – using large language models and computational analysis of legislative texts to trace how bureaucratic reforms may enable political capture under democratic backsliding.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We are especially grateful to our discussants, Brigitte Aimee Seim<\/strong><\/a> and Alexei Zakharov<\/strong><\/a>, for their insightful comments and engaging discussion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A great exchange at the intersection of AI, computational methods and political science – looking forward to continuing these conversations and collaborations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The AIM-3D Project at Notre Dame team organized and hosted a panel session at the MPSA conference titled \u201cModeling Democracy with AI: Computational Approaches to Democratic Development and Decline.\u201d Michael Coppedge, Valentina (Valya) Kuskova, and Dmitry Zaytsev presented \u201cAIM-3D: A Prototype Neural Network for Modeling Democratization,\u201d showcasing early work on modeling and forecasting long-term democratic […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5174,"featured_media":0,"parent":80,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-759","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5174"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=759"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":770,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/759\/revisions\/770"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/80"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/aim3d\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}