{"id":809,"date":"2023-02-14T11:07:04","date_gmt":"2023-02-14T16:07:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/?page_id=809"},"modified":"2023-02-14T11:07:05","modified_gmt":"2023-02-14T16:07:05","slug":"germany-has-a-problem","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/germany-has-a-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"Germany Has a Problem"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Feb. 8, 2023<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2023\/02\/09\/multimedia\/08hermsmeier-ukz2-kwqj\/08hermsmeier-ukz2-kwqj-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&amp;auto=webp&amp;disable=upscale\" alt=\"Alice Weidel stands at a blue lectern. A red light covers her face and neck.\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Alice Weidel, a leader of Alternative for Germany, at the party\u2019s 10th anniversary celebration on Monday.Credit&#8230;Kai Pfaffenbach\/Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By&nbsp;Lukas Hermsmeier<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mr. Hermsmeier is a journalist who writes about Germany\u2019s politics and society.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BERLIN \u2014 In the heat of debate about Germany sending tanks to Ukraine, it\u2019s easy to forget that just two months ago, the authorities arrested&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/12\/07\/world\/europe\/germany-coup-arrests.html\">25 people<\/a>&nbsp;for planning a radical right-wing coup to overthrow the German government.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The would-be insurgents \u2014 followers of the antisemitic&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/12\/08\/world\/europe\/germany-plot-qanon.html\">Reichsb\u00fcrger<\/a>&nbsp;(\u201ccitizens of the Reich\u201d) movement, which claims that every German state since World War I has been illegitimate \u2014 included soldiers, police officers, army reservists, an aristocratic&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/12\/11\/world\/europe\/germany-prince-heinrich-xiii.html\">\u201cprince\u201d ringleader<\/a>&nbsp;and, notably, a number of members of the far-right Alternative for Germany party, including a former representative of the German Parliament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The group\u2019s ideas are bizarre and the plot had no serious chance of success. And yet one might think that the unearthing of a heavily armed movement aiming at the elimination of the state would set off an intense discussion around nationalism and far-right violence. Germany, after all, is celebrated for reckoning with its fascist past. But that did not happen. After some lukewarm speculation about a potential ban of Alternative for Germany, known by its German acronym, AfD, the issue has almost completely disappeared from public debate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This development \u2014 or more precisely, the lack of development \u2014 is symptomatic of a disquieting fact: Germany has a problem with right-wing extremism. Nowhere is this more evident than in the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2017\/09\/25\/world\/europe\/germany-election-afd.html\">rise of the AfD<\/a>, which effectively functions as the parliamentary arm of the broader far-right movement. The party, which commands around 15 percent of the vote nationwide and is the largest electoral force in some regions, was founded only in 2013. Yet in a decade, it has conclusively shifted the country\u2019s politics to the right.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now known for its aggressive antimigrant stance, the party wasn\u2019t primarily focused on immigration in its early days. The priority, initially, was economic. The 18 men \u2014 among them several economists, a former conservative journalist and businessmen \u2014 who&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zeit.de\/zustimmung?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zeit.de%2Fzeit-magazin%2F2017%2F30%2Falternative-fuer-deutschland-gruendung-bernd-lucke%2Fkomplettansicht\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">founded the party<\/a>&nbsp;in February 2013 had one main aim: for Germany to leave the European Union\u2019s currency union, or abolish it altogether. This was, of course, at root a nationalist position.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two years later, when over one million people chiefly from Syria and Afghanistan fled toward Europe, the party was primed to take advantage. Alexander Gauland, a leading AfD figure, described the crisis as a \u201cgift\u201d for the party. Through its ceaseless agitation against immigration and a supposed \u201cIslamization\u201d of Germany, the AfD shifted the mood and caused tensions, particularly in the conservative camp. The government soon began to withdraw from its initially welcoming response, instead tightening&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/02\/04\/world\/europe\/german-cabinet-approves-measures-tightening-asylum-rules.html\">asylum laws<\/a>&nbsp;and increasing&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bpb.de\/themen\/migration-integration\/zahlen-zu-asyl\/265765\/abschiebungen-in-deutschland\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">deportations<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static01.nyt.com\/images\/2023\/02\/08\/multimedia\/08hermsmeier-4-jvqp\/08hermsmeier-4-jvqp-articleLarge.jpg?quality=75&amp;auto=webp&amp;disable=upscale\" alt=\"A crowd of protesters gathered in a square. In the foreground is a German flag.\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The AfD, meanwhile, consolidated its position on the political scene. In 2017 it became the third-largest party in the Parliament, leading the opposition. While its electoral fortunes waxed and waned \u2014 it lost votes in the most recent election in 2021, for example \u2014 the party, with its antimigrant calls for law and order, wielded considerable mainstream influence. Far from moderating the party, success radicalized it. The AfD has developed into an ever more extremist and antidemocratic force. Today it is dominated by people like&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/10\/26\/world\/europe\/afd-election-east-germany-hoecke.html\">Bj\u00f6rn H\u00f6cke<\/a>, a party leader who, according to a court ruling, can be legally described as a fascist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The party has its strongholds in eastern states like Thuringia and Saxony, regions where unemployment is\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/de.statista.com\/statistik\/daten\/studie\/36651\/umfrage\/arbeitslosenquote-in-deutschland-nach-bundeslaendern\/\" target=\"_blank\">higher<\/a>\u00a0than in the west, public infrastructure has been dismantled, and young people\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.zeit.de\/politik\/deutschland\/2019-05\/east-west-exodus-migration-east-germany-demography\" target=\"_blank\">move away<\/a>\u00a0when they get the chance. The economic abandonment that hit eastern Germany after the dissolution of the German Democratic Republic in 1990 \u2014 so different from the \u201cflourishing landscapes\u201d promised by the former chancellor Helmut Kohl \u2014 is a major factor in the AfD\u2019s popularity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the party is not, as is sometimes assumed, merely an eastern German phenomenon. The AfD gets double-digit results in some west German states, such as Bavaria. In the state election in Lower Saxony at the end of 2022, for example, the party almost doubled its vote from five years ago, to 11 percent. According to a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.uni-leipzig.de\/en\/newsdetail\/artikel\/neue-leipziger-autoritarismus-studie-erschienen-2022-11-09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">recent study<\/a>, 23 percent of western Germans said they believed the country was being \u201cswamped with foreigners.\u201d (The figure in eastern Germany was 40 percent.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Behind this general support is widespread racism and what the sociologist&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/12\/07\/opinion\/merkel-germany-christian-democrats.html\">Oliver Nachtwey<\/a>&nbsp;calls a \u201csociety of decline.\u201d The postwar era\u2019s promise of upward mobility has long since disappeared. Nearly&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.destatis.de\/EN\/Themes\/Labour\/Earnings\/Minimum-Wages\/_node.html\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">one in five<\/a>&nbsp;German employees now works in the low-wage sector, and poverty has increased by&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/europe\/major-increase-in-poverty-in-germany-study-finds\/2747404\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">40 percent<\/a>&nbsp;since 2010. In this setting, where the state appears to have failed in its duty to provide a social safety net and sense of solidarity, the AfD\u2019s opposition to supposed state overreach \u2014 notably around Covid measures and vaccines \u2014 finds ready adherents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The results are plain to see. In a decade, the AfD has become a major Pan-German political force. Although blue-collar workers and the unemployed are disproportionately represented among the party\u2019s voters, a large part of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bpb.de\/themen\/parteien\/parteien-in-deutschland\/afd\/273131\/wahlergebnisse-und-waehlerschaft-der-afd\/\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">its electorate<\/a>&nbsp;is white-collar workers, civil servants and the self-employed. It\u2019s important to note that all of Germany\u2019s other political parties have lost voters to the AfD in recent years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Crucially, the AfD\u2019s rise has taken place alongside a general emboldening of the radical right. In the past few years, radical&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2021\/06\/10\/world\/europe\/german-police-far-right.html\">right-wing networks<\/a>&nbsp;have been uncovered in the police force and the military. Violence has hit the streets. In February 2020, a white supremacist&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/mass-shooting-in-hanau-grief-and-rage-persist-one-year-on\/a-56612160\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">killed nine<\/a>&nbsp;people of color in the city of Hanau. In the first three quarters of 2022, there were&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spiegel.de\/politik\/deutschland\/fluechtlingsheime-erstmals-seit-jahren-wieder-mehr-angriffe-auf-unterkuenfte-a-0c812320-9683-4122-97ce-f702ee2b183b\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">65 attacks<\/a>&nbsp;on refugee facilities \u2014 more than one per week. The AfD has no direct role in these attacks. But it has undeniably helped to create a political atmosphere in which deadly violence is more likely. In the case of&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/world-europe-55824282\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the killing<\/a>&nbsp;of a pro-migrant politician in 2019, the perpetrator, a neo-Nazi, was an active supporter of the party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yet despite these dangers, other parties and institutions have failed to build a firewall around the AfD. On a local level, the Christian Democrats and the Liberals have worked with the party&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spiegel.de\/panorama\/gesellschaft\/sachsen-afd-cdu-und-andere-wer-mit-wem-kooperiert-und-warum-a-544d9800-21ab-4599-acf2-3442a3ef8117\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">numerous times<\/a>, when it suited them. Even the left is not immune to the AfD\u2019s influence: Sahra Wagenknecht, the most prominent figure of the Left Party, has adopted many far-right talking points, railing against \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.spiegel.de\/politik\/deutschland\/sahra-wagenknecht-und-das-parteiausschlussverfahren-ex-fraktionschefin-hat-linke-schweren-schaden-zugefuegt-darf-aber-bleiben-a-00456479-1646-48b6-8bba-60ed9ec17169\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">bizarre minorities<\/a>,\u201d spreading&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fr.de\/politik\/corona-impfung-impfstoff-karl-lauterbach-sahra-wagenknecht-twitter-news-91144328.html\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">conspiracy theories about Covid<\/a>&nbsp;and taking up&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SWagenknecht\/status\/1501582349758341120\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Russian narratives<\/a>&nbsp;around the war in Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In some cases, the adoption of AfD positions may come from a genuine belief that it is a way to win back voters. In other cases, it looks more like the mainstream parties use the AfD\u2019s presence as an alibi to act on their own convictions. Either way, the strategy is unlikely to pay off. Studies have shown that accommodating the far right&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cambridge.org\/core\/journals\/political-science-research-and-methods\/article\/does-accommodation-work-mainstream-party-strategies-and-the-success-of-radical-right-parties\/5C3476FCD26B188C7399ADD920D71770\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\">does little<\/a>&nbsp;to limit its growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany has generally been\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/europe\/2019\/09\/01\/germanys-governing-parties-keep-the-far-right-at-bay-just\" target=\"_blank\">praised<\/a>\u00a0for keeping the far right at bay. While it\u2019s true that the AfD is not as powerful as the nationalist parties of France, Italy or Hungary, Germany has nonetheless failed to confine extremist forces to the political margins. Even if the AfD retains between 10 percent and 15 percent of the vote, we should question what kind of normality we are getting accustomed to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Reichsb\u00fcrger raid and the AfD\u2019s 10th anniversary should prompt a major moment of reflection: A reckoning with the reasons for the party\u2019s success is long overdue. Beyond that, it\u2019s time to develop a new antifascist \u201cHaltung\u201d \u2014 a set of clear positions. No more accommodating, no more normalizing and no more collaboratin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Feb. 8, 2023 By&nbsp;Lukas Hermsmeier Mr. Hermsmeier is a journalist who writes about Germany\u2019s politics and society. BERLIN \u2014 In the heat of debate about Germany sending tanks to Ukraine, it\u2019s easy to forget that just two months ago, the authorities arrested&nbsp;25 people&nbsp;for planning a radical right-wing coup to overthrow the German government. The would-be &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/germany-has-a-problem\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Germany Has a Problem&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":114,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-809","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/809","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/114"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=809"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/809\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":810,"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/809\/revisions\/810"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sites.nd.edu\/world-politics-spring-2023\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=809"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}