AI-driven Modeling & Forecasting for Democratic Development and Decline (AIM4D)
International Conference at the University of Notre Dame
October 15-17, 2026
Conveners: Michael Coppedge and Dmitry Zaytsev
Day 0, Thursday, October 15, 2026
before 6:00 pm: Arrival of the Participants & Check-in
6:00 – 8:00 pm: Welcome Dinner & Check-in for Panelists and Paper Presenters
Day 1, Friday, October 16, 2026
8:00 – 9:00 am: Breakfast & Check-in (Hesburgh Center Great Hall)
Welcoming keynotes and panels (Hesburgh Center Auditorium):
9:00 – 9:20 am: Welcome & Introduction
9:20 – 10:00 am: AIM4D Panel Session I : AIM-3D Public Portal: Official Launch Presentation
10:00 – 10:40 am: AIM4D Panel Session II : 10 years of V-Dem in Networks and Numbers
10:40 – 10:50 am: Refreshment break (Hesburgh Center Great Hall)
10:50 – 12:00 pm: AIM4D Panel Session III : Roundtable with V-Dem PIs and PMs
12:00 – 1:20 pm : Lunch for Panelists and Paper Presenters
Workshop I: Modeling and Forecasting Foundations
1:20 – 1:40 pm: Tour de Table
1:40 – 2:20 pm: Presenter #1
2:20 – 3:00 pm: Presenter #2
3:00 – 3:40 pm: Presenter #3
3:40 – 4:00 pm: Coffee Break for Panelists and Paper Presenters
Workshop II: Measurement and Data Construction
4:00 – 4:40 pm: Presenter #4
4:40 – 5:20 pm: Presenter #5
5:20 – 6:00 pm: Presenter #6
6:00 – 8:00 pm: 10-year V-Dem Celebration Dinner for Invited Guests, Panelists, and Paper Presenters
Day 2, Saturday, October 17, 2026
8:00 – 8:30 am: Breakfast for Panelists and Paper Presenters
Workshop III: Early Signals and High-Frequency Indicators. Part 1
8:30 – 9:10 am: Presenter #7
9:10 – 9:50 am: Presenter #8
9:50 – 10:30 am: Presenter #9
Workshop III: Early Signals and High-Frequency Indicators. Part 2
10:30 – 11:00 pm: Presenter #10
11:10 – 11:50 pm: Presenter #11
11:50 – 1:00 pm: Lunch for Panelists and Paper Presenters
Workshop IV: Structural and Causal Dynamics
1:00 – 1:40 pm: Presenter #12
1:40 – 2:20 pm: Presenter #13
2:20 – 2:40 pm: Coffee Break for Panelists and Paper Presenters
Workshop V: Forecasting Applications and Institutional Extensions
2:40 – 3:20 pm: Presenter #14
3:20 – 4:00 pm: Presenter #15
4:00 – 4:20 pm: Coffee Break for Panelists and Paper Presenters
4:20 – 5:00 pm: Presenter #16
5:00 – 5:40 pm: Presenter #17
5:40 – 6:00 pm: Wrap-up: Big-Picture Implications
6:00 – 8:00 pm: Farewell Dinner for Panelists and Paper Presenters
