Selected publications:

Madon, S., Malecela, M. N., Mashoto, K., Donohue, R., Mubyazi, G., & Michael, E. (2018). The role of community participation for sustainable integrated neglected tropical diseases and water, sanitation and hygiene intervention programs: A pilot project in Tanzania. Social Science & Medicine, 202, 28-37.



Bilal, S., & Michael, E. (2018). Effects of complexity and seasonality on backward bifurcation in vector–host models. Royal Society open science, 5(2), 171971. doi: 10.1098/rsos.171971




Donohue, R. E., Mashoto, K. O., Mubyazi, G. M., Madon, S., Malecela, M. N., & Michael, E. (2017). Biosocial Determinants of Persistent Schistosomiasis among Schoolchildren in Tanzania despite Repeated Treatment. Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease, 2(4), 61.






Michael, E., Singh, B. K., Mayala, B. K., Smith, M. E., Hampton, S., & Nabrzyski, J. (2017). Continental-scale, data-driven predictive assessment of eliminating the vector-borne disease, lymphatic filariasis, in sub-Saharan Africa by 2020. BMC medicine, 15(1), 176.




Smith, M. E., Singh, B. K., & Michael, E. (2017). Assessing endgame strategies for the elimination of lymphatic filariasis: A model-based evaluation of the impact of DEC-medicated salt. Scientific reports, 7(1), 7386. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-07782-9





Smith, M. E., Singh, B. K., Irvine, M. A., Stolk, W. A., Subramanian, S., Hollingsworth, T. D., & Michael, E. (2017). Predicting lymphatic filariasis transmission and elimination dynamics using a multi-model ensemble framework. Epidemics, 18, 16-28. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.02.006





Michael, E., Madon, S. (2017). Socio-ecological dynamics and challenges to the governance of Neglected Tropical Disease control. Infectious Diseases of Poverty. 6(35). doi: 10.1186/s40249-016-0235-5






Irvine, M. A., Stolk, W. A., Smith, M. E., Subramanian, S., Singh, B. K., Weil, G. J., … & Hollingsworth, T. D. (2017). Effectiveness of a triple-drug regimen for global elimination of lymphatic filariasis: a modelling study. The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 17(4), 451-458.


Bilal S, Singh BK, Prasad A, Michael E. Effects of quasiperiodic forcing in epidemic models. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science. 2016 Sep 1;26(9):093115. doi: 10.1063/1.4963174




ten Bosch, Q.A., Chadee, D.D., Singh, B.K. & Michael, E. (2016). The role of serotype interactions and seasonality in dengue model selection and disease control: insights from a Pattern Matching Approach. PloS Neglected Tropical Diseases 10(5): e0004680.




Chalghaf B, Chlif S, Mayala B, Ghawar W, Bettaieb J, Harrabi M, Benie GB, Michael E, Salah AB. Ecological Niche Modeling for the Prediction of the Geographic Distribution of Cutaneous Leishmaniasis in Tunisia. The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. 2016 Apr 6;94(4):844-51. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.15-0345







researchpic4Michael E, Singh BK. Heterogeneous dynamics, robustness/fragility trade-offs, and the eradication of the macroparasitic disease, lymphatic filariasis. BMC Medicine. 2016 Jan 28;14(1):1. doi: 10.1186/s12916-016-0557-y






Singh, B.K., Michael, E. (2015). A Bayesian calibration of simulation models for supporting management of the elimination of the macroparasitic disease, Lymphatic Filariasis. Parasites and Vectors 8, 522. doi: 10.1186/s13071-015-1132-7




Parham, P.E., Waldock, J., Christophides, G.K., Hemming, D., Agusto, F., Evans, K.J., Feffema, N., Gaff, H., Gumel, A., LaDeau, S., Lenhart, S., Mickens, R.E., Naumova, E.N., Ostfeld, R.S., Ready, P.D., Thomas, M.B., Velaxo-Hernandez, J. & Michael, E. (2015) Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 370, 20130551. doi




researchpic5Gambhir, M., Singh, B.K. & Michael, E. (2015) The Allee effect and elimination of neglected tropical diseases: a mathematical modelling study. Advances in Parasitology. doi: 10.1016/bs.apar.2014.12.001





Figure 4. Probabilities of the Cessation of Transmission of Lymphatic Filariasis before and after Bed-Net Distribution on the Basis of Village-Specific Goodness of Fit with the Anopheline Transmission Model. Reimer, L.J., . Thomsen, E.K.,  Tisch, D.J., Henry-Halldin, C.N., Zimmerman, P.A., Baea, M.E., Dagoro, H., Susapu, M., Hetzel, M. W., Bockarie, M.J., Michael, E., Siba, P.M. & Kazura, J.W. (2013). Insecticidal bed nets and filariasis transmission in Papua New Guinea. New England Journal of Medicine 369: 745-753. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1207594




researchpic6Slater, H.C. Gambhir, M., Parham, P.E. & & Michael, E. (2013) Modelling co-infection with malaria and lymphatic filariasis. PloS Computational Biology 9: e1003096.